Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-04

LAA @ BAL

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“The zone had wings tonight.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.6% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, LAA
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 120 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Wade Meckler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Wade Meckler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Moisés Ballesteros vs Cade Povich
  2. 2+0.23▲7 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Moisés Ballesteros vs Rico Garcia
  3. 3-0.21▲1 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Nolan Schanuel vs Cade Povich

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Wade Meckler — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Wade Meckler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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