Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-05

LAA @ BAL

Home plate: Dan Bellino

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, LAA
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Travis d'Arnaud — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Yennier Cano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.197 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Vaughn Grissom vs Alex Hoppe
  2. 2-0.198 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Jose Siri vs Yennier Cano
  3. 3+0.093 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Adam Frazier vs Trevor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Travis d'Arnaud — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Tyler Heineman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Yennier Cano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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