Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-05

TB @ COL

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

“A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, COL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 113 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cedric Mullins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ben Williamson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Edouard Julien — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▲2 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Nick Fortes vs Tomoyuki Sugano
  2. 2-0.28▲6 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Cedric Mullins vs Parker Mushinski
  3. 3-0.20▲9 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Taylor Walls vs Zach Agnos

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Cedric Mullins — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Ben Williamson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Edouard Julien — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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