Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-08

DET @ SF

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

“Hawkeye clocked in early and stayed late.”

C
Umpire Grade
89.1% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, DET
8
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Bryce Eldridge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kevin McGonigle — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Dillon Dingler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Spencer Torkelson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Spencer Torkelson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Dillon Dingler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼7 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Willy Adames vs Tyler Holton
  2. 2+0.23▲7 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Dillon Dingler vs Trent Harris
  3. 3+0.21▲9 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Riley Greene vs Carson Seymour

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 8 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Bryce Eldridge — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Kevin McGonigle — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Dillon Dingler — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Spencer Torkelson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Spencer Torkelson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Dillon Dingler — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Daniel Susac — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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