Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-08

TB @ SEA

Home plate: Emil Jimenez

Corner-to-corner and then some.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, SEA
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Emil Jimenez called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jonathan Aranda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.216 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Liam Hicks vs Michael Rucker
  2. 2+0.192 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Cal Raleigh vs Cam Booser
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Jonathan Aranda vs George Kirby

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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