Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-09

LAA @ MIA

Home plate: Will Little

The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, LAA
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 177 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 167 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Agustín Ramírez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Xavier Edwards — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Wade Meckler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Moisés Ballesteros vs Tyler Zuber
  2. 2+0.219 · 3-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Wade Meckler vs Josh Ekness
  3. 3-0.196 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Griffin Conine vs Blake Weiman

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Agustín Ramírez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Agustín Ramírez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Xavier Edwards — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Moisés Ballesteros — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Wade Meckler — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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