Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-14

BAL @ TB

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.9% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, BAL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 172 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cedric Mullins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jonny DeLuca — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Yohel Pozo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼3 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Liam Hicks vs Chris Bassitt
  2. 2-0.39▼1 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Junior Caminero vs Chris Bassitt
  3. 3+0.23▲2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Colton Cowser vs Jesse Scholtens

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cedric Mullins — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jonny DeLuca — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Yohel Pozo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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