Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-15

SEA @ HOU

Home plate: Austin Jones

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A
Umpire Grade
95.6% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, HOU
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Austin Jones called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 129 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Taylor Trammell — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.697 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Taylor Trammell vs Emerson Hancock
  2. 2+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Josh Naylor vs Bryan King
  3. 3-0.214 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Victor Robles vs Hayden Wesneski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Taylor Trammell — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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