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THE TAPE · 7-NIGHT CARD MOVES · AS OF AUGUST 18, 2026◆▲ SPENCER JONES — ROOKIE PSA 10 +100% $80.00◆▲ ELI WHITE — ROOKIE PSA 10 +48.7% $44.61◆▼ BLAZE JORDAN — ROOKIE PSA 10 -34.8% $14.53◆▼ EMILIANO TEODO — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -29.4% $31.19◆▼ CODY FREEMAN — ROOKIE PSA 10 -25.7% $48.86◆▲ CEDDANNE RAFAELA — ROOKIE PSA 10 +23.8% $24.99◆▲ SAL STEWART — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +22.5% $132◆▲ BLAKE DUNN — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +21.2% $40.00◆▼ DAVIS MARTIN — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -21.1% $63.36◆▼ NICK KURTZ — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -18.2% $45.00◆
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-17

MIA @ PHI

Home plate: Tyler Jones

“One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
1.4
Run Favor
runs, PHI
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 163 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Justin Crawford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Trea Turner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Bryson Stott — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Victor Vodnik — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼7 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    J.T. Realmuto vs Victor Vodnik
  2. 2+0.30▼6 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Bryson Stott vs John King
  3. 3+0.13▲8 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Heriberto Hernández vs Orion Kerkering

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Justin Crawford — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Trea Turner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Bryson Stott — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Victor Vodnik — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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