Ceddanne Rafaela

The card rack

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FlagshipCeddanne Rafaela #GH-3 · 2026 Topps Greatest Hits · 88 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.22Raw$11.91PSA 9$35.35PSA 10$46.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$1.00Ungraded$1.00Ungraded

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The rookieCeddanne Rafaela #313 · 2024 Topps · 144 recent sales 7N ▼0.1%

$1.44Raw$10.53PSA 9$25.51PSA 10$33.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

$0.99Ungraded$0.99Ungraded$1.25Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 11, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Ceddanne Rafaela, 26, came out of Willemstad, Curacao, and reached Boston in August 2023; the engine says his .285 average is outrunning the physics. His EV95 sits at 103.17 — 15th percentile of our 406 qualified MLB bats, below the 105.8 median — yet results run 0.0508 ahead of what that contact supports. That's warm, not scalding, and shy of the fade line. At No. 392 of 406 on the breakout composite, where the board takes 20, the engine is watching, not chasing.

Note written Oct 5 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Rafaela is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 103.2 (15th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results 0.051 ahead of the physics — running warm, but shy of the fade line. He sits No. 392 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

PAID — his line has outrun his contact. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

103.17

Luck gap (park-adj)

0.0508

Overlay score

-0.5

WAR (season · MLB calc)

4.1

Balls in play

424

Age

26

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of February 1, 2026.

2026 salary

$3.75M

Tax hit

$6.25M

Service time

3 yr 35 d

Guaranteed

$50M

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Boston Red Sox.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of September 17, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$6.3M

Guaranteed

$50.0M

Term

8 yrs

His class

Extension

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Ceddanne Rafaela

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Ceddanne Rafaela

The scouting press, in their own words