Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-12

TEX @ BOS

Home plate: Brian Walsh

Tonight's zone had a rooting interest.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.6% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, TEX
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Brian Walsh called the 128 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ceddanne Rafaela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.391 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Ceddanne Rafaela vs Jack Leiter
  2. 2-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Connor Wong vs Luis Curvelo
  3. 3+0.195 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Caleb Durbin vs Jack Leiter

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ceddanne Rafaela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Caleb Durbin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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