Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-17

SD @ NYM

Home plate: Chris Segal

“Tonight's zone had a rooting interest.”

C
Umpire Grade
89.8% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 128 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 115 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼1 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Francisco Lindor vs Walker Buehler
  2. 2-0.30▲2 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Luis Campusano vs Nolan McLean
  3. 3-0.23▼5 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Francisco Alvarez vs Walker Buehler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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