Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-17

SD @ NYM

Home plate: Chris Segal

An off night — the kind everyone has, now on the record.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.4% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 128 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.302 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Luis Campusano vs Nolan McLean
  2. 2-0.235 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Francisco Alvarez vs Walker Buehler
  3. 3-0.212 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Luis Campusano vs Nolan McLean

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Xander Bogaerts — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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