Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · C · New York Mets

Francisco Alvarez

B/T R/R · 5' 10" · 233 lb · born Guatire, Venezuela · age 24 · played C 75, DH 22 · MLB debut 2022-09-30

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-30): 9 G · .097 AVG · 0 HR · 3 RBI · .281 OPS

359 plate appearances scored this season His season card →

Scout’s note

Francisco Alvarez, a 24-year-old catcher from Guatire, Venezuela, has 61 home runs in 399 career MLB games — real power for the position. But his last 14 days at the MLB level were a deep freeze: .097 average, .281 OPS, and 15 strikeouts in 9 games.

Note written · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Where he stands

through

Against the 382 qualified major-league hitters — 100+ balls in play this season, the same field the boards are chosen out of. Right is better on every row.

  1. EV95109.086
  2. Deserved (xVal)0.44790
  3. Got (aVal)0.40779
  4. Luck gap (park-adjusted)flipped-0.02877

today · 30 days ago, against the 341 men who qualified then · the tick is the midpoint · the number at the right is the percentile, the number beside it the measurement itself.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$2.40M
Term
1 yr

What the sheet prices each season at

Season2026202720282029
SalaryArb 1Arb 2Arb 3Arb 4

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Francisco Alvarez

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Francisco Alvarez cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

+3.5 net runs over 42 graded gamesthe zone was kind to the umpire on balance.

Biggest swings: +1.1 · +0.7

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGABRHHRRBISBBBSOAVGOPS
MLB CAREER3991257154290611763129379.231.731

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →