Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-26

MIL @ NYM

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.7% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, NYM
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Christopher Morel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Brett Baty vs Robert Gasser
  2. 2-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Cooper Pratt vs Robert Stock
  3. 3-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Brett Baty vs Robert Gasser

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Christopher Morel — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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