Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-18

NYY @ BAL

Home plate: Will Little

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, BAL
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Heliot Ramos — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Austin Wells — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Spencer Jones — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Coby Mayo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Leody Taveras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Tyler O'Neill vs Carlos Rodón
  2. 2+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Christian Franklin vs Brent Headrick
  3. 3-0.289 · 1-2 ball called strike
    José Caballero vs Albert Suárez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Heliot Ramos — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Austin Wells — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Spencer Jones — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Carlos Narváez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Coby Mayo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Leody Taveras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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