Aroldis Chapman

The Chase

3 SV from 400 — our pace: ≈ September 12, 2026 Follow the chase →

The card rack

FlagshipAroldis Chapman #ATT-12 · 2026 Topps All-Topps Team · 139 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.21Raw$12.05PSA 9$45.00PSA 10$59.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$1.00Ungraded$1.00Ungraded$1.00Ungraded

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The rookieAroldis Chapman #110 · 2011 Topps · 376 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$2.42Raw$29.99PSA 9$99.99PSA 10$130BGS 10PSA 10 · 43 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

$1.49Ungraded$1.99Ungraded$1.99Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Thirty-eight years old, out of Holguín, 903 appearances and 1,381 strikeouts into a career that began in 2010 — and Chapman is still working at the back of Boston's bullpen with a 1.86 ERA and 27 saves. He is in the Index ungraded, and on purpose. Our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no arm gets a board flag from it. The ERA-FIP luck gap did clear our bar, and we file the regression call by hand. For now, the science holds the grade.

Current signals

The read: Chapman is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

1.4

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 14, 2026.

2026 salary

$13.00M

Tax hit

$13.30M

Service time

15 yr 9 d

Options left

2 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Boston Red Sox.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of August 20, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$13.3M

Guaranteed

$13.3M

Term

1 yr

His class

Extension

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Aroldis Chapman

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Aroldis Chapman

The scouting press, in their own words