Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
KC

Kansas City Royals

American League · American League Central · Kauffman Stadium

Umpire favor

+4.1 net runs over 134 graded gamesthe zone was kind to the club on balance.

Biggest swings: +2.0 vs NYM · +1.8 vs CLE

→ all umpire grades

The season ahead

28 games left on the schedule — what’s next, then the road to the finish. Times are in your own clock.

On deck

at Toronto Blue Jays (65–69)

Thu, Aug 27

Game 3 of 3· Rogers Centre

Probables: Noah Cameron vs Spencer Arrighetti

The card will be kept live — follow along →

28 games left

Aug 2711:07pmat TOR (65–69)
Aug 2811:10pmat CLE (68–66)
Aug 298:10pmat CLE (68–66)
Aug 305:40pmat CLE (68–66)
Sep 111:40pmvs MIA (68–66)
Sep 211:40pmvs MIA (68–66)
Sep 311:40pmvs MIA (68–66)
Sep 412:10amvs TOR (65–69)

On the radar

What the market seesWhat the engine sees
PlayerPosAgeResultsSampleBoardSignal
Bobby Witt Jr.SS26OPS .824115 GBREAKOUTEV95 110.9
Michael WachaP35ERA 3.49162.2 IPINDEX

Left of the rule is the league’s own line on the player — his results, not our numbers, and never an input to any FVR signal. Right of it is what the engine measures.

The Card Pulse

What the collector market pays for this roster — movers first. A rising price is demand, not our read on the player. The full board →

Grade B · #8 of 30Heat 1.4%Value $41.03 avg
Jac CaglianoneJac Caglianone [Red Rookie Variation] #75
9.5%$49.25Collect →
Carter JensenCarter Jensen [Red Rookie Variation] #66
8.6%$36.88Collect →
Jac CaglianoneRCJac Caglianone #BST-14
2.8%$38.48Collect →
Bobby Witt Jr.Bobby Witt Jr. / George Brett #55DH-12
2.5%$39.23Collect →
Bobby Witt Jr.RCBobby Witt Jr. #520
1.1%$89.00Collect →
Michael WachaMichael Wacha [Gold] #190
0.5%$38.76Collect →
Carter JensenRCCarter Jensen #668
0%$106Collect →
Michael WachaRCMichael Wacha #US168
0%$18.00Collect →

What they pay

A market fact, not an engine read — and the club’s own row from the payroll board, computed once so the two pages cannot disagree.

vs the tax line
+$56.6Munder
MP/MW
$5.85M20 of 30 — 1 is cheapest

The five biggest commitments this season

  • Seth Lugo$21.5M
  • Michael Wacha$18.0M
  • Bobby Witt Jr.$14.1M
  • Salvador Perez$10.4M
  • Carlos Estévez$10.1M

Cash is what the club pays out; the tax payroll is average annual values under the CBA’s own rulebook. Two answers to one question, never subtracted from one another. Figures from Cot’s, as of .

A second set of books

The numbers above are Cot’s. These are MLB Spreadsheets’s, and they answer two questions Cot’s cannot: what this payroll is made of, and where it has moved since Opening Day. We keep both sources rather than merging them, because the only thing that catches an error in one is the other.

Where the two sources disagree

  • On cash payroll, Cot’s reads $144.7M and MLB Spreadsheets reads $149.6M $4.8M apart, with 1 day between the two sheets.

Both are reputable and neither is wrong on its own terms. A gap on sheets a month apart is one source catching up; a gap on sheets a few days apart is a real disagreement about what a club is paying, and nobody prints those. We do not average them, and every figure on this site says which source it came from.

Since Opening Day

Cash payroll
$145.2M$149.6M +$4.4M
Tax payroll
$182.8M$187.2M +$4.4M

A move is not a verdict. Adding payroll is not virtue and cutting it is not vice, so nothing here is colored — the sign is the whole fact. And a move in dollars is not a payroll in dollars: we never compare one to the other.

Where the money goes

Cash payroll

$149.6M

Tax payroll

$187.2M

The bar divides the $188.2M this club pays out. It takes $1.0M back in — adjustments and credits — which is what brings the tax payroll to $187.2M.

LineCashTax
Players on the rosterSalary to the men actually playing, majors and minors.$134.8M$162.9M
Major-league salary$133.0M$161.2M
Minor-league salary$1.8M$1.8M
Players who are goneSalary buying this club no player at all.$3.6M$3.6M
Termination pay$2.2M$2.2M
Outright assignments$1.4M$1.4M
BonusesSigning bonuses charged against this season, buyouts of options declined, and bonuses already earned.$11.1M$1.4M
Signing bonuses (prorated)$5.1M
Option buyouts$4.5M
Performance and award bonuses$1.4M$1.4M
Cash in tradesMoney sent out with a player traded away, or taken in — a negative figure — to absorb someone else's contract.$0.2M$0.2M
League chargesThe same for all thirty clubs — no front office decided to spend this.$20.1M
Benefits$18.4M
Pre-arb bonus pool$1.7M
Adjustments and creditsBookkeeping between the club and the league office.−$1.0M
Total$149.6M$187.2M

An em dash in one column and a figure in the other is not a missing number — it is the two rulebooks sorting the same money differently. A prorated signing bonus is in the cash figure and already inside the average annual value the tax is assessed on; league charges are the reverse. That is why the two totals differ, and why they are never subtracted from one another.

Composition and Opening Day figures from Ethan Hullihen (@EthanHullihen, MLBSpreadsheets), from a workbook whose oldest relevant sheet is dated . The workbook carries a different date on every tab, so this is the oldest of the ones we read rather than the file’s own. Every line above was checked to sum to the club’s stated total before it was printed.

On the record

  • C0014 Bobby Witt Jr. · open

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