Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-19

TOR @ TB

Home plate: James Jean

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, TOR
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how James Jean called the 127 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Myles Straw — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.396 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Chandler Simpson vs Brendon Little
  2. 2+0.195 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Myles Straw vs Drew Rasmussen
  3. 3+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Alejandro Kirk vs Bryan Baker

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Myles Straw — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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