Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · P · Tampa Bay Rays

Bryan Baker

B/T R/R · 6' 6" · 235 lb · born Fort Walton Beach, FL, USA · age 31 · draft 2016 rd 11 · played P 54 · MLB debut 2021-09-05

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-28): 6 G · 5.2 IP · 1.59 ERA · 7 SO · 1.24 WHIP

206 batters faced scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

The card rack

FlagshipBryan Baker #2 · 2023 Choice Norfolk Tides Triple-A Champions · 0 recent sales

His flagship is his rookie — one card, one market.

RawPSA 9PSA 10BGS 10PSA 10 · 8 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Baker is in the Index ungraded: the stuff model isn't outcome-validated, so no board flag — even a reliever first in saves with 35 and a 1.47 ERA over 49.0 innings. An 11th-round pick out of Fort Walton Beach, Florida in 2016, now 31, he debuted in 2021 and built a career in the Tampa Bay bullpen. The ERA-FIP luck gap cleared the bar for a regression call, filed by hand. Thirty-five saves at 1.47 is its own argument while the board catches up.

Current signals

The read: Baker is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$1.27M
Term
1 yr

What the sheet prices each season at

Season202620272028
SalaryArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Bryan Baker

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Bryan Baker cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

Umpire favor

-0.6 net runs over 20 graded gamesthe zone cost him more than it gave, on balance.

Biggest swings: -0.6 · -0.4

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGIPW–LSVERASOWHIP
2021Toronto Blue JaysMLB11.00000.0011.00
2022Baltimore OriolesMLB6669.24313.49761.23
2023Baltimore OriolesMLB4645.04303.60511.27
2024Baltimore OriolesMLB1923.11105.01231.16
2025Baltimore OriolesMLB4238.13223.52491.10
2025Tampa Bay RaysMLB3130.11214.75341.12
2025TotalMLB7368.24434.06831.11
2026Tampa Bay RaysMLB5452.012381.56580.88
MLB CAREER259259.21413423.402921.13

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →