Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-30

TEX @ TB

Home plate: Stu Scheurwater

The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Stu Scheurwater called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wynns — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jonathan Aranda — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Hunter Feduccia — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nicky Lopez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Nicky Lopez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.697 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Wyatt Langford vs Steven Matz
  2. 2+0.235 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Jake Burger vs Craig Kimbrel
  3. 3-0.209 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Nicky Lopez vs Bryan Baker

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wynns — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Jonathan Aranda — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Hunter Feduccia — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Nicky Lopez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Nicky Lopez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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