Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-16

TB @ CWS

Home plate: Austin Jones

Hawkeye did more talking than the umpire tonight.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, TB
5
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Austin Jones called the 194 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 183 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Taylor Walls — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Jake Fraley — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Jonny DeLuca vs Anthony Kay
  2. 2+0.699 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Fraley vs Lucas Sims
  3. 3+0.699 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Andrew Benintendi vs Bryan Baker

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Taylor Walls — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Jake Fraley — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  9. 9Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 9 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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