Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 3 HIT · 4 MISS · 9 OPEN · C0015 RESOLVED: MISS
Support the paperGet the Digest
THE TAPE · 7-NIGHT CARD MOVES · AS OF AUGUST 27, 2026◆▲ JORDAN LAWLAR — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +55.3% $124◆▲ PETE CROW-ARMSTRONG — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +47.5% $158◆▼ ADOLIS GARCÍA — ROOKIE PSA 10 -30.1% $40.90◆▼ CHANDLER SIMPSON — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -24.5% $189◆▼ LOGAN GILBERT — ROOKIE PSA 10 -22% $35.10◆▲ KADE ANDERSON — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +21.1% $284◆▲ SONNY GRAY — ROOKIE PSA 10 +19.8% $27.56◆▲ SAL STEWART — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +19.7% $158◆▲ MICHAEL HARRIS II — ROOKIE PSA 10 +19.5% $36.00◆▼ TARIK SKUBAL — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -18.9% $83.00◆
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-21

ATH @ HOU

Home plate: Jonathan Parra

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, ATH
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jonathan Parra called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▼1 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Daulton Varsho vs J.T. Ginn
  2. 2+0.23▲3 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Donovan Walton vs Hayden Wesneski
  3. 3+0.19▲3 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Jonah Heim vs Hayden Wesneski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X