Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-21

ATL @ MIL

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A
Umpire Grade
95.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, MIL
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ronald Acuña Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Joey Ortiz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Luis Lara — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jackson Chourio vs Brent Suter
  2. 2-0.134 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Ozzie Albies vs Jacob Misiorowski
  3. 3+0.101 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Michael Harris II vs Jacob Misiorowski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ronald Acuña Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Joey Ortiz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Luis Lara — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X