Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 3 HIT · 4 MISS · 9 OPEN · C0015 RESOLVED: MISS
Support the paperGet the Digest
THE TAPE · 7-NIGHT CARD MOVES · AS OF AUGUST 27, 2026◆▲ JORDAN LAWLAR — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +55.3% $124◆▲ PETE CROW-ARMSTRONG — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +47.5% $158◆▼ ADOLIS GARCÍA — ROOKIE PSA 10 -30.1% $40.90◆▼ CHANDLER SIMPSON — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -24.5% $189◆▼ LOGAN GILBERT — ROOKIE PSA 10 -22% $35.10◆▲ KADE ANDERSON — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +21.1% $284◆▲ SONNY GRAY — ROOKIE PSA 10 +19.8% $27.56◆▲ SAL STEWART — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 +19.7% $158◆▲ MICHAEL HARRIS II — ROOKIE PSA 10 +19.5% $36.00◆▼ TARIK SKUBAL — FLAGSHIP PSA 10 -18.9% $83.00◆
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-21

CIN @ AZ

Home plate: Dan Bellino

“The Automated Ball-Strike System put in some overtime here.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.4% accurate
1.8
Run Favor
runs, AZ
5
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 187 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 169 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Dane Myers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼7 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Tim Tawa vs Pierce Johnson
  2. 2+0.28▲3 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  3. 3+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Eugenio Suárez vs Eduardo Rodriguez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jose Trevino — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Dane Myers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X