Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-21

LAA @ TEX

Home plate: Andy Fletcher

“The grade leaned — the ledger says which way.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
1.4
Run Favor
runs, TEX
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Andy Fletcher called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 150 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: MacKenzie Gore — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Corey Seager — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Evan Carter — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Wyatt Langford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲7 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Josh Lowe vs Cole Winn
  2. 2+0.39▲5 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Josh Lowe vs MacKenzie Gore
  3. 3-0.19▲9 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Jacob Latz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1MacKenzie Gore — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Corey Seager — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Evan Carter — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Wyatt Langford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X