Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-21

TB @ BAL

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, BAL
1
ABS Overturns
of 1 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 107 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 101 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Gunnar Henderson vs Freddy Peralta
  2. 2+0.092 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Jorge Mateo vs Trevor Rogers
  3. 3-0.092 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Taylor Walls vs Trevor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

1 pitch went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Samuel Basallo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 1 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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