Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-22

ATH @ HOU

Home plate: Will Little

“The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, HOU
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 148 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 137 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Henry Bolte — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼6 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Jose Altuve vs Jacob Lopez
  2. 2+0.30▼4 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Cam Smith vs Jacob Lopez
  3. 3-0.19▼3 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Isaac Paredes vs Jacob Lopez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Henry Bolte — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X