Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-22

MIN @ SD

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

Called it the way the rulebook drew it up.

A+
Umpire Grade
98.7% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, MIN
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Josh Bell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Byron Buxton — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Luke Keaschall vs Casey Mize
  2. 2-0.092 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Gavin Sheets vs Dean Kremer

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Josh Bell — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Byron Buxton — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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