Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-22

NYM @ CWS

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

This one went to video review more than most.

A
Umpire Grade
95.9% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, NYM
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 197 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 189 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drew Romo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Drew Romo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Robert Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Marcus Semien — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Sam Antonacci — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Drew Romo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.283 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Luis Robert Jr. vs Luis Castillo
  2. 2-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Chase Meidroth vs Austin Warren
  3. 3+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Francisco Alvarez vs Huascar Brazobán

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drew Romo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Drew Romo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Robert Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Marcus Semien — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Sam Antonacci — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Drew Romo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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