Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-22

SF @ BOS

Home plate: James Hoye

“A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.0% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, SF
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 174 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 167 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Willy Adames — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲3 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Rafael Devers vs Patrick Sandoval
  2. 2+0.69▲7 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Drew Gilbert vs Greg Weissert
  3. 3-0.28▼3 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Wilyer Abreu vs Blade Tidwell

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Willy Adames — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Willson Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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