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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-23

ATH @ HOU

Home plate: Ryan Wills

“The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.8% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, HOU
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 161 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Darell Hernaiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carlos Cortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Lawrence Butler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Christian Vázquez vs Jack Perkins
  2. 2+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Carlos Cortes vs Cristian Javier
  3. 3+0.23▲9 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Lawrence Butler vs Josh Hader

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jose Altuve — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Christian Vázquez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Darell Hernaiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Carlos Cortes — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Lawrence Butler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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