Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-25

COL @ WSH

Home plate: Marvin Hudson

Expanded the plate a touch past its 17 inches.

C
Umpire Grade
89.1% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, WSH
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Marvin Hudson called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 139 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Willi Castro — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Willi Castro — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brady House — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Harry Ford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Jake McCarthy vs Andrew Alvarez
  2. 2+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Andrés Chaparro vs Mark Manfredi
  3. 3-0.133 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Jordan Beck vs Andrew Alvarez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Willi Castro — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Willi Castro — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Brady House — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Harry Ford — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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