Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-27

AZ @ SF

Home plate: Alex MacKay

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

B+
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SF
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.691 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jonah Cox vs Jose Cabrera
  2. 2-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Gabriel Moreno vs Landen Roupp
  3. 3-0.191 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Drew Gilbert vs Jose Cabrera

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Drew Cavanaugh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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