Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-29

CWS @ MIN

Home plate: Lance Barrett

Corner-to-corner and then some.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.6% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, CWS
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barrett called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 135 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Munetaka Murakami — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.301 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Sam Antonacci vs Bailey Ober
  2. 2-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Miguel Vargas vs A.J. Minter
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Victor Caratini vs Erick Fedde

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Munetaka Murakami — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Jake Rogers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Victor Caratini — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jake Rogers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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