Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-30

CIN @ CHC

Home plate: Brian Walsh

Borderline went to the battery all night.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.1% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Brian Walsh called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 109 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.698 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    JJ Bleday vs Aaron Civale
  2. 2+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Chase Burns
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Tyler Stephenson vs Shota Imanaga

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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