Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-30

PHI @ LAA

Home plate: Dan Bellino

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A
Umpire Grade
95.0% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, PHI
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Derek Hill — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Wade Meckler vs Zack Wheeler
  2. 2+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Bryson Stott vs Yusei Kikuchi
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Wade Meckler vs Zack Wheeler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Derek Hill — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Moisés Ballesteros — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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