Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-30

SD @ TB

Home plate: Tyler Jones

One dugout got the friendlier version of the evening.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, SD
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 173 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 164 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.699 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Jase Bowen vs Manuel Rodríguez
  2. 2-0.211 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Yandy Díaz vs Robbie Ray
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Taylor Walls vs Robbie Ray

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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