Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-31

MIA @ WSH

Home plate: Chris Segal

Corner-to-corner and then some.

C
Umpire Grade
89.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, MIA
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 129 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brian Navarreto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brian Navarreto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Brady House — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jacob Young — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Daylen Lile vs Ryan Gusto
  2. 2-0.696 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Jacob Young vs Tyler Zuber
  3. 3-0.396 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Jacob Young vs Tyler Zuber

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brian Navarreto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Brian Navarreto — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Brady House — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Jacob Young — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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