Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-01

SEA @ BOS

Home plate: Will Little

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

B
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, BOS
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Will Little called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cole Young — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nick Sogard — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.302 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Lazaro Montes vs Jedixson Paez
  2. 2+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Cal Raleigh vs Alec Gamboa
  3. 3+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Nick Sogard vs Bryan Woo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Randy Arozarena — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cole Young — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Nick Sogard — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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