Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-02

CWS @ HOU

Home plate: Dan Merzel

“Off the corner was close enough tonight.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.7% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, HOU
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 127 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 119 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tristan Peters — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jeremy Peña — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Drew Romo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Christian Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Randal Grichuk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▲9 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Randal Grichuk vs Josh Hader
  2. 2-0.13▼3 · 1-0 ball called strike
    LaMonte Wade Jr. vs Davis Martin
  3. 3+0.10▲1 · 0-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Miguel Vargas vs Hayden Wesneski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Tristan Peters — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jeremy Peña — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Drew Romo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Christian Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Randal Grichuk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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