Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-02

SD @ CIN

Home plate: Jacob Metz

The zone kept its promises.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, CIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ethan Salas — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Austin Hays — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Samad Taylor vs Tejay Antone
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Ty France vs Brandon Williamson
  3. 3+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Dane Myers vs Casey Mize

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ethan Salas — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Austin Hays — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X