Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-03

ATH @ SEA

Home plate: James Hoye

Nothing off the plate, and not much on the black either.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.2% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SEA
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 193 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 176 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Brian Serven — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Zack Gelof — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Cole Young vs Scott Blewett
  2. 2+0.202 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jeff McNeil vs Kade Anderson
  3. 3+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball
    J.P. Crawford vs Chris Roycroft

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Randy Arozarena — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Brian Serven — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Randy Arozarena — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Randy Arozarena — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Zack Gelof — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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