Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-03

CWS @ HOU

Home plate: Dan Bellino

“The zone had a case of the wanders.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.2% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CWS
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 136 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 124 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲6 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Chase Meidroth vs Hunter Brown
  2. 2+0.23▲7 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Sam Antonacci vs Bennett Sousa
  3. 3-0.23▲8 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Andrew Benintendi vs Bryan Abreu

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jake Rogers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X