Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-04

SF @ NYM

Home plate: Brock Ballou

One dugout got the friendlier version of the evening.

D
Umpire Grade
87.6% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, NYM
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Brock Ballou called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Bryce Eldridge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Turner Hill — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Juan Soto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.304 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Juan Soto vs Yunior Marte
  2. 2+0.232 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Drew Cavanaugh vs Nolan McLean
  3. 3-0.216 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Nate Furman vs Nolan McLean

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Bryce Eldridge — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Turner Hill — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Juan Soto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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