Juan Soto

On the record · career milestones this season

100 career stolen bases — Thu, May 21 · day game vs. Washington Nationals The scorecard → · The write-up →

250 career home runs — Fri, May 15 · night game vs. New York Yankees The scorecard → · The write-up →

The card rack

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FlagshipJuan Soto #HA-32 · 2025 Topps Home Field Advantage · 198 recent sales 7N ▲14.2%

$39.99Raw$68.82PSA 9$260PSA 10$338BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

$30.00Ungraded$40.00Ungraded$45.00Ungraded

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The rookieJuan Soto #US104 · 2018 Topps Update · 566 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$2.75Raw$12.93PSA 9$34.06PSA 10$42.50BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-11 · paid links

$2.64Ungraded$2.64Ungraded$2.64Ungraded

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 11, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Juan Soto, 27, from Santo Domingo, owns a career .945 OPS across eight seasons — and the engine says he is slightly underpaid by the physics. His EV95 of 109.0 ranks in the 87th percentile, but the luck gap of -0.0461 means results trail what the contact should yield. Not enough to flag, but enough to notice. He sits No. 22 of 406 on the breakout composite, two spots outside the board. Twenty-seven homers in 111 games this year, and the engine thinks a few more are owed.

Note written Oct 4 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Soto is tracked, not flagged: an EV95 of 109.0 (87th percentile of the 406 qualified MLB bats we track; median 105.8) with results 0.046 below the physics — slightly owed, but not enough to flag. He sits No. 22 of 406 on the breakout composite; the board takes 20.

OWED — his contact has outrun his line. Where he sits in the league →

EV95 (mph)

109

Luck gap (park-adj)

-0.0461

Overlay score

0.578

WAR (season · MLB calc)

3.1

Balls in play

335

Age

27

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of August 3, 2026.

2026 salary

$57.50M

Tax hit

$51.00M

Service time

8 yr 134 d

Guaranteed

$765M

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, New York Mets.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of September 17, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$51.0M

Guaranteed

$765.0M

Term

15 yrs

His class

FA

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

The Wire

△ On the field: Josue De Paula lands on Dodgers NLDS roster; Juan Soto is a huge fan of the prospect's shuffle.

X chatter, trailing 2 days · as of 2026-10-05 · newest post 2026-10-03 · summarized by Grok (xAI) · how this works →

Collect Juan Soto

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.