Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-05

STL @ COL

Home plate: Mike Muchlinski

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.2% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, STL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Muchlinski called the 142 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 138 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▲5 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Bryan Torres vs Mason Adams
  2. 2+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Nolan Gorman vs Mason Adams
  3. 3+0.13▲1 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Iván Herrera vs Mason Adams

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Leo Bernal — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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