Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-06

BOS @ BAL

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

“The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.2% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 132 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 123 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Leody Taveras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jahmai Jones — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.5*
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲6 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Andruw Monasterio vs Anthony Nunez
  2. 2+0.13▲1 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Roman Anthony vs Kyle Bradish
  3. 3-0.13▼8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Dylan Beavers vs Jovani Morán

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Leody Taveras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Carlos Narváez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jahmai Jones — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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