Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-06

STL @ COL

Home plate: Emil Jimenez

“Borderline went to the battery all night.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, COL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Emil Jimenez called the 151 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 140 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Vimael Machín — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Joshua Báez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Blas Castaño — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲7 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Joshua Báez vs Juan Mejia
  2. 2+0.23▼4 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Vimael Machín vs Cooper Hjerpe
  3. 3-0.20▼4 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Brett Sullivan vs Cooper Hjerpe

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Vimael Machín — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Leo Bernal — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Joshua Báez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Blas Castaño — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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