Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-07

STL @ SF

Home plate: James Hoye

A busy night for the machines in the truck.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
5
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 193 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 178 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alec Burleson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Andrew Knizner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jonah Cox — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Joshua Báez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Drew Cavanaugh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: César Prieto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.399 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Drew Cavanaugh vs Ryne Stanek
  2. 2-0.288 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Jonah Cox vs Justin Bruihl
  3. 3-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Leo Bernal vs Logan Webb

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alec Burleson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Andrew Knizner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jonah Cox — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Joshua Báez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Drew Cavanaugh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Drew Cavanaugh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8César Prieto — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 8 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X