Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

COL @ NYY

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

“The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, NYY
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 125 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Cole Carrigg vs Will Warren
  2. 2-0.19▲1 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Hunter Goodman vs Will Warren
  3. 3+0.19▼7 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    José Caballero vs Juan Mejia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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