Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

COL @ NYY

Home plate: Todd Tichenor

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, NYY
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Todd Tichenor called the 135 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Cole Carrigg vs Will Warren
  2. 2-0.191 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Hunter Goodman vs Will Warren
  3. 3+0.197 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    José Caballero vs Juan Mejia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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